Sunday, October 22, 2006

BRAZIL’S PETROBRAS TO BUILD ETHANOL PIPELINE



Brazil
’s largest oil company plans 800-mile pipeline to transport ethanol from Brazil’s interior to ports.

Henrique Oliveira

Petrobras is preparing to begin construction on its single largest project since it developed a gas pipeline between Bolivia and Brazil, in 1992. The line will carry ethanol produced in the municipality of Senador Canedo, in Goias state, to the Paulinia refinery, in Sao Paulo, and, from there, to the port of Sao Sebastiao.

The project is expected to be concluded in two years, and will use 180,000 tons of carbon steel tubes, laid out over approximately 800 miles. 10,000 men will work on the project, which will also include compression and leakage measurement stations. The cost of the project, estimated at R$ 500 million (~US$ 235 million) will be picked up by Transpetro, a Petrobras subsidiary. The line will serve exclusively ethanol plants producing for international markets, transporting 4 billion liters of ethanol at full capacity.

On its web site, Transpetro speaks at great technical length about the project in a very complete document, which can be read by clicking here.

I have previously shown, by presenting data collated and analyzed by Prof. Jose Goldemberg, the former president of the University of Sao Paulo (USP), the largest in Latin America, that the long-run average cost of ethanol declined 75% in 25 years, from US$680/cubic meter in 1978 to about US$200/cubic meter today.

Follow what's happening in the Brazilian ethanol market on Ethablog, the only blog in English dedicated to Brazilian ethanol.

Thursday, October 19, 2006

GEORGE SOROS STEPS UP INVESTMENTS IN BRAZILIAN ETHANOL

IstoE Dinheiro Rural (a major Brazilian finance magazine)
by Fabiane Stefano and Lívia Andrade

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George Soros is a changed man. The investor who once made a big-time bet against the Bank of England, and reaped a big reward, is now investing in Brazilian agribusiness - even though he also bet against the Brazilian currency in 2002.

At 76, with a net worth of approximately US$ 7.6 billion, Soros joins a distinguished team of foreign billionaires who are investing in Brazilian ethanol.

The team includes Microsoft’s Bill Gates, Google’s Sergey Brin and Larry Page, and venture capitalist Vinod Khosla.

Like them, Soros has been touched by the magic of the green fuel from Brazil. He is investing in three sugar and ethanol plants in Mato Grosso do Sul state, currently under construction. The investments total US$ 900 million; the plants will have a joint processing capacity of 11 million tons of sugarcane per year and will produce 1 billion liters of ethanol.

In addition to ethanol, the Hungarian financier’s company, Adeco, is also investing in cotton and coffee in Brazil. “When the company becomes fully operational, revenues from Brazilian operations will equal those coming from Argentina”, says Marcelo Vieira, Soros’ main partner in Brazil. The billionaire’s rural operations in Argentina have already reached US$ 30 million in earnings.

Soros’ foray into agribusiness is recent and began in Argentina. In 2001, the financier followed his gut feeling and began buying Argentinean land in the middle of the economic crisis that crippled the country. He quickly became one of the biggest individual land-owners in the country. In 2002, along with American investors, Soros bought Pecom Agribusiness (the rural subsidiary of Perez Companc) for approximately US$ 25 million, giving birth to Adenco. Today the company has over 100,000 hectares for beef and dairy cattle, soy, corn, wheat, rice, and sunflowers, producing over 200,000 tons of grain per year.

It wasn’t long before the company from Argentina took interest in its South American neighbor. Adeco landed in Brazil in 2004 and, since then, has been making inroads into the Brazilian countryside with the same appetite that he displays at stock exchanges around the world. The first acquisitions in Brazil took place in the states of Tocantins and Bahia, where 27,000 hectares produce mostly cotton and coffee.

“We invest in the crops in which Brazil is the most competitive”, explains Leonardo Berri, Adeco’s general manager in Brazil. “That is why we have a five-year expansion plan for cotton and coffee”. Adeco’s biggest bet, however, happened in February 2006. Soros’ company associated itself with Usina Monte Alegre, which belongs to the Vieira family, a traditional coffee-growing clan from Minas Gerais state. Located in the southernmost portion of that state, the unit can mill one million tons of sugarcane annually. When acquiring the plant, part of the family’s shareholders became partners at Adeco and began managing the company in Brazil. Among them was Marcelo Vieira, a mechanical engineer with over thirty years’ experience in the sugar and ethanol business. Today he is a considered a role model for new leaders in Brazil’s countryside. He began an initiative to bring together a group of coffee growers from Minas Gerais state to produce and market premium coffee. Mr. Vieira founded the Brazil Specialty Coffee Association (BSCA), in 1991, an organization that actively marketed the fallen image of Brazilian coffee and helped spark a renaissance in the area. “Mr. Vieira is changing the industry by adopting modern managerial practices”, says Luiz Hafers, the former president of the Brazilian Rural Society. According to Mr. Vieira’s handbook, Adeco needs to invest in areas that have great potential for developing new technologies. He also takes corporate governance issues into consideration. “We have a great concern for sustainable production, and we strive to be correct in both the social and environmental dimensions”, says Mr. Vieira. “We believe in direct planting and use pesticides as sparingly as possible”, explains Leonardo Berridi, Adeco’s general manager in Brazil.

Vieira remains at the head of the group’s sugar and ethanol activities. He is currently supervising the group’s expansion in Angelica, in Mato Grosso do Sul state. Sugarcane has already been planted this year; a seedbed that occupies 900 hectares will supply the material for planting 6,000 hectares next year. Factory construction will begin in 2007, with operations scheduled to begin in 2008. The Monte Alegre plant, in Minas Gerais state, should reach full capacity in two years. At that point, the company’s four plants in Brazil will be milling 12 million tons. Recent international focus on renewable fuels has added momentum to Adeco’s operations. At the end of September, Soros’ company announced in New York that it will begin construction on a plant for corn-based ethanol.

50 million tons of corn will be processed, harvested from an area of 50,000 hectares, generating 200,000 cubic meters of ethanol. The possibility of building similar plants in Argentina is also being probed.

In spite of Soros’ great leverage in Latin American agribusiness, his personal participation in the company’s day-to-day affairs is small. “He is a shareholder and has great enthusiasm for the project”, says Mr. Vieira. “But he does not take part directly in the company’s affairs”.

Mr. Soros has recently turned his attention to philanthropy. Through the Soros Foundation Network, he created the “Open Society Institute”, which acts all around the world in education, health, and culture.


Follow what's happening in the Brazilian ethanol market on Ethablog, the only blog in English dedicated to Brazilian ethanol.

Sunday, October 15, 2006

BRAZILIAN GOVERNMENT EXPECTS TO HARVEST 1 BILLION TONS OF SUGARCANE BY 2015

(Note: a good back of the envelope calculation to compare oil and sugarcane ethanol is that one ton of the feedstock produces the energy equivalent of one barrel of oil. This figure does not take into account the bagasse and the straw, which account for 2/3 of the plant’s total energy content).

Henrique Oliveira

In order to raise output to meet rising world demand for ethanol, Brazilian agents, in the public and private sectors, are contemplating both the expansion of cultivated area and enhanced efficiency in the sugarcane-growing and ethanol-producing processes.

There is an abundance of land for sugarcane, which yields eight times more energy than corn. To understand by just how much Brazil can increase its output, look no further than the example of Sao Paulo state, which produces 60% of Brazil’s ethanol – and occupies just under 3% of the country’s territory.

Government agents, however, have not been counting solely on an expansion of planted area to increase output. They have also been committing larger sums to R&D in agronomy, with institutions such as the ESALQ (the acronym, in Portuguese, for the Luis de Queiroz Higher School of Agronomy) garnering international attention (the institution’s agents, incidentally, conduct weekly reviews of ethanol prices and have become the de facto setters of the commodity’s price in Brazil). Among other activities, ESALQ develops new strains of sugarcane.

Refineries have also learned to reduce costs by burning the sugarcane after it has been crushed and its juice, extracted. The crushed sugarcane, known as bagasse, today accounts for 8% of a refinery’s revenues, as the excess power generated can be sold to the national electricity grid.

And Brazilian government agencies have been working with foreign institutions to help other countries produce sugarcane at industrial levels. This mitigates the risk inherent to relying on sugarcane for ethanol and boosts confidence in the fuel’s capability to meet international energy requirements.

Brazil’s IEA (Agricultural Economics Institute), an institute within the Agriculture and Supply Secretariat of the State of Sao Paulo, has projected that the country will bring in close to one billion tons in the 2015-16 harvest, which is expected to cover an area of 12.2 million hectares.

Factors taken into account include the development of technologies to produce ethanol through the hydrolysis of bagasse and sugarcane straw, a process which may reduce the pressure to expand the use of land. Changes in the labor structure within the industry, which is increasingly mechanized, may also contribute to reduced expansion (and increased conservation of impacted ecosystems).

Other factors contemplated by IEA in its forecast include domestic delays in implementing ethanol programs, protectionist barriers in the U.S. and Europe, and demand for sugar on international markets. More information is available on IEA’s website.

Follow what's happening in the Brazilian ethanol market on Ethablog, the only blog in English dedicated to Brazilian ethanol.

Friday, October 13, 2006

EARLY HARVEST FOR BRAZILIAN SUGARCANE

From "Valor Economico", Brazil's leading financial daily

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The sugarcane harvest in Brazil’s Center-South, measured until the first of October, 2006, hit 292.2 million tons, a 10.6% increase in relation to the same period last year, according to the Union of Sugarcane Growers of the State of Sao Paulo (UNICA).

This result represents 79% of the total harvest, which came in at 370.6 million tons. 20.9 million tons of sugar were produced, as were 12.4 billion liters of ethanol. Future prices for sugar at NYMEX closed the day unchanged yesterday (October 12th, 2006), after the sharp drop the previous day. Contracts for May, at the close of the session, were at US$ 0.1130 per pound. In London, contracts for March closed at US$ 352.30 per ton, an increase of US$ 1.30. In Sao Paulo, the sack closed at R$ 37.34 (~US$ 17.37) on Wednesday, according to Cepea/Esalq.

Follow what's happening in the Brazilian ethanol market on Ethablog, the only blog in English dedicated to Brazilian ethanol.

Monday, October 09, 2006

49 SUGAR SHIPS LINED UP IN BRAZILIAN PORTS

The line-up for ships waiting to load sugar counted 49 vessels in Brazil’s main port this week, compared to 48 last week, according to an assessment carried out by Williams Brazil.

In the port of Santos, the largest in Latin America, there were 27 ships, compared to 31 in the previous week. Santos was responsible for 71% of sugar shipments this week.

In the port of Paranagua, Parana state, there were nine ships, the same number as in the previous week.

Follow what's happening in the Brazilian ethanol market on Ethablog, the only blog in English dedicated to Brazilian ethanol.

Monday, October 02, 2006

FENASUCRO 2007 PROMISES TO SHATTER 06 RECORDS

Early birds, take note:

Name: Fenasucro - XIV International Sugar And Ethanol Industrial Fair
Type: Technical-Business Promotion Fair
Place: Zanini Exhibition Center – Sertaozinho / Sao Paulo / Brasil
Scope: International
Date: TBA
Hours: 2 p.m. to 8:30 p.m.
Entry time for pre-registered personnel: 2:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m.
Exhibition Area: 130.000 square meters
Number of exhibitors: approximately 600
Estimated number of public visitors: 60.000 visitors

Simultaneous Events:
Brazil Sugarcane Technological Innovations Symposium – STAB

Sponsored by:
CEISE: Industry Center of Sertãozinho and Region

Supported by:
CIESP: Sao Paulo State Industry Center
FIESP: Sao Paulo State Industry Federation
STAB: Brazilian Society of Sugar and Alcohol Industry Technicians
SEBRAE-SP: Brazilian Small Business Support Service for the Sao Paulo State
UNICA: Sao Paulo Sugarcane Agricultural Industry Union
Sertaozinho Municipality

Promotion and Sales:
Multiplus Ltda.
55 16 3623-8936

Follow what's happening in the Brazilian ethanol market on Ethablog, the only blog in English dedicated to Brazilian ethanol.

ETHANOL FUEL ADVANTAGES DEMONSTRATED IN THE INDY 500

I worked with Tom MacDonald from April to August 2007. He has a long track record at the California Energy Commission with fuel ethanol, wit...